16.4.1

Elections & Incumbency

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Incumbency and Elections

When the current president runs for election, they have a number of advantages over other candidates which increases their chance of re-election.

Incumbent president in primaries

Incumbent president in primaries

  • When an incumbent president runs for re-election, primaries of the president’s party have little coverage.
  • The incumbent president will be re-elected to stand at the presidential election.
    • Before the 1984 election President Ronald Reagan won 99% of the Republican primary vote.
    • Before the 2004 election President George W. Bush won 98% of the Republican primary vote.
Challenge during primaries

Challenge during primaries

  • If there is a strong challenge to the incumbent president in a primary it can harm the president in the presidential election as it shows a lack of support from their own party.
    • President George. H. W. Bush was challenged by Pat Buchanan and won only 72% of the primary vote. President Bush lost the following 1992 presidential election.
Incumbency effect

Incumbency effect

  • The incumbent president has a strong chance of re-election for a second term as president.
    • The president has strong name recognition with voters.
    • He is likely to be better known than the candidate who they compete with.
    • The president will have large funding to run their campaign because they are an established political candidate who is likely to have many supporting donors.
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Political Parties

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Electoral Systems

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The UK Constitution

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US Democracy & Participation

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