2.4.3

Factors Affecting Party Success

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Party Factors Affecting Election Success

The party leader, party policies and the election campaign will impact a party's success.

Party leader

Party leader

  • The party leader represents the party and many voters view the leader as the image of the party.
  • Public opinion of the leader and their ability to offer an appealing brand to the electorate plays an important role in creating support for the party.
Party leader: charisma

Party leader: charisma

  • A leader’s personality, charisma and popularity among voters is important.
    • Nigel Farage was viewed as the image of UKIP and his charisma played a role in UKIP’s appeal to voters.
  • Since Farage stepped down as the leader, UKIP has not achieved the same electoral success.
    • Tony Blair was popular beyond traditional Labour voters.
    • Blair's personality and charisma had wide appeal, which were important in the success of New Labour from 1997.
Party leader: uniting the party

Party leader: uniting the party

  • Party leaders unite the party, which is important because party supporters may come from a range of groups in society.
  • More divided parties struggle to win elections and appeal to voters.
    • The Labour Party is divided under Jeremy Corbyn, who faced a vote of no confidence in 2016.
    • The Conservative Party is divided over the issue of leaving the EU.
Party leader: funding

Party leader: funding

  • Party leaders play a role in gaining party funding, which is crucial as greater resources can mean the ability to run a stronger election campaign.
    • Theresa May held dinners for donors to increase funding for the Conservative Party.
Election campaigns

Election campaigns

  • The election campaign tells the public about party policies, the personality of the leader, and how the party behaves under pressure.
    • For example, Ed Miliband was seen to be a weaker leader than David Cameron, because of problems in the election campaign.
  • But, studies have shown that voters already know who they will choose before the election campaign, so the election may not always change minds.
Policies

Policies

  • Party policies are important to gather support.
  • Change in party policies can gather new voters.
    • In 1997, after Labour rebranded to ‘New Labour’ under Tony Blair, they achieved their biggest general election victory.

The Media & External Events

How a party is portrayed in the media, the impact of external events, and how a politician responds to them affects how well a party does.

The media

The media

  • The media provides the means by which the electorate can access information on parties.
  • Different media outlets support different parties and encourage readers to vote in certain ways.
    • The Daily Mail is a right-wing paper. The paper supported Brexit in the 2016 referendum
    • The Guardian is a centrist/left-leaning newspaper. Some Jeremy Corbyn supporters have accused the paper of being biased against the Labour leader.
    • The BBC is funded by taxpayers and is supposed to be unbiased.
Social media

Social media

  • Social media is harder to regulate, and so false news stories and information (‘fake news’) may be seen, which could influence voters.
  • On social media a mix of news, personal stories and opinions and other information can be seen, which may affect voting intentions.
External events

External events

  • How parties respond to external events (ie outside of UK politics and goings-on in Westminster) may impact their support.
    • Terror attacks, world politics and protests may all be commented on and responded to by major parties.
    • If a party responds in an unpopular way, this may impact their support.

Social & Regional Factors Affecting Party Success

Various social and regional factors affect who votes for which party. As social factors change over time, how well a party does in an election may change.

Class

Class

  • Historically Labour was the party of the working class.
  • But, voting has moved away from being related to class.
  • Classes have changed sizes, and become less important.
    • The number of workers in manual industries has fallen.
    • The structure of the UK economy has changed, and it could be argued that opportunities are different and less class-related.
    • Educational opportunities have increased.
Age

Age

  • Younger voters tend to lean more left and support Labour or similar parties.
  • The Conservative vote increases with age.
  • It is not clear why age changes voting patterns.
Ethnicity

Ethnicity

  • Some political parties are more diverse and representative of minority populations than others.
    • The Labour party has historically had a more diverse electorate.
Region

Region

  • Cities have tended to support the Labour party, and rural areas have tended to vote Conservative in recent elections.
  • The north of England tends to support Labour, and the south of England tends to support the Conservatives.
    • Historically the North was more industrial and has deeper trade union links, and so may be linked to historic Labour support.
  • Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland have different national parties that voters support.
Family

Family

  • How someone’s family votes also has an impact on who they will vote for - some families pass on their political values.
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