Reasons for Growth & Decline
Geography: Cambridge International GCSE (2027 Exams), topic 6.1.1
Global Population Growth
The world’s population has increased exponentially from 1 billion people in 1804 to over 7 billion people today.

Natural increase
- Natural increase is the birth rate minus the death rate.
- Developing countries have higher rates of natural increase.
- Developed countries have very low rates of natural increase and may move to natural decrease soon.
- Africa has the highest rate of natural increase of all the continents.

Birth rate
- Birth rate is the number of live babies born per 1,000 per year.
- There are large numbers of women of childbearing age, so even though the number of births per woman (fertility rate) is generally falling, the population continues to grow.
- This is called demographic momentum.
- Birth rates are still high in less developed countries so the population increases rapidly in these locations.
- Natural increase is particularly true in areas of strong religious beliefs because of beliefs about contraceptives.

Death rates
- Death rates have dropped in the last couple of centuries.
- Death rate is the number of people who die per 1,000 people per year.
- Modern medicine has reduced the effect of illness on humans.
- Vaccines, antibiotics, antivirals can be used to keep people alive now. This means that people live longer.
- More babies survive as antenatal care has improved.

Infant mortality rate
- The infant mortality rate has dropped in the last couple of centuries.
- The infant mortality rate is the number of babies who die within their first year of life per 1,000 per year.

Carrying capacity
- The carrying capacity is the largest number of people that the resources of the planet/a given area can support.
- The carrying capacity of the world has increased with technological advances in food production and resource development.

Impacts of population growth
- A growing population creates more waste, which can cause pollution and health risks.
- Governments must spend more on healthcare, housing, and education to meet rising demand.
- Rapid growth can put pressure on jobs, food, and water supplies, leading to shortages.
- A larger workforce can also mean more tax revenue, which may support economic growth.
- If growth is too fast, it can reduce living standards and increase inequality.
Test yourself on Reasons for Growth & Decline
What do we call the number of live babies born per 1,000 people per year?