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The Economy & Business

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Economic Booms and Recessions

The economy has a major impact on businesses.

Economic cycles

Economic cycles

  • The economy is the state of a country’s production and consumption of goods and services. A country’s economy goes through cycles of booms and recessions.
Booms

Booms

  • A boom is when the economy is growing significantly and the businesses in it are generally doing well.
Recessions

Recessions

  • During a recession, economic output falls (for 2 successive quarters there is negative economic growth) and because of this, businesses usually experience a fall in demand for their products.

What Determines if There is a Boom or Recession?

The economic climate (whether it is doing well or poorly) reflects whether businesses are doing well or badly for several reasons. A few different factors can indicate the state of the economy:

Unemployment

Unemployment

  • A recession leads to high levels of unemployment. This is bad for businesses because unemployed people have less money (disposable income) to spend.
  • If less people buy goods, a business' revenues will fall and it is likely that profits will fall too.
    • For example, the sales of supermarkets like Sainsbury's might fall during a recession because consumers will tend to buy essential groceries, but not expensive wine and DVDs.
Consumer spending

Consumer spending

  • A recession can lead to a fall in consumer spending because of:
    • Unemployment - If someone loses their job, they will spend less.
    • Reduced consumer confidence – If people are worried about the future then they are more likely to save just in case they lose their job. This leads to less spending.
    • Decreased income – People’s income may fall during a recession and this leads to less money being spent on goods and services.

Changes in Income and Businesses

The effect that a change in income has on businesses is less simple. Some firms might benefit from a fall in income and some firms might suffer from a fall in income.

Necessities

Necessities

  • A fall in income can mean that people have to spend a greater proportion of their money on necessities.
    • Even if income falls, it is unlikely that people will change the amount of money they spend on products like water.
    • This means that they will have less money to spend on their wants (like a Playstation 4 console).
  • Because of this, businesses that provide products and services for consumers’ wants rather than their needs will suffer if incomes fall.
Luxury products (and services)

Luxury products (and services)

  • When people’s income falls, people are less likely to spend money on ‘luxury’ goods or services and instead will favour discount shops and cheap goods and services.
    • Aldi and Lidl tend to increase their market share of grocery shopping in recessions, with supermarkets like Waitrose losing market share.
    • Poundland and Primark generally increase their market share when incomes fall.
Jump to other topics
1

Investigating Small Business

1.1

Enterprise & Entrepreneurship

1.2

Spotting a Business Opportunity

1.3

Putting a Business Idea into Practice

1.4

Making the Business Effective

1.5

Business Stakeholders

2

Building a Business

2.1

Growing the Business

2.2

Making Marketing Decisions

2.3

Making Operational Decisions

2.4

Making Financial Decisions

2.5

Making Human Resource Decisions

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