Effect of a Stronger & Weaker Dollar

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Impact of Exchange Rate Fluctuations

It is useful to think about how different economic agents will be affected by exchange rate fluctuations.

Exchange rate movements

With the price of a typical good or service, it is clear that higher prices benefit sellers and hurt buyers, while lower prices benefit buyers and hurt sellers.
In the case of exchange rates, where the buyers and sellers are not always intuitively obvious, it is useful to trace how a stronger or weaker currency will affect different market participants.
Exchange rate movements affect exporters, tourists, and international investors in different ways.

Strong Dollar example

The table above shows the impact of a stronger U.S. dollar on six different groups of economic agents.

U.S. exporting firms

For a U.S. firm selling abroad, a stronger U.S. dollar is a curse. A strong U.S. dollar means that foreign currencies are correspondingly weak.
When this exporting firm earns foreign currencies through its export sales, and then converts them back to U.S. dollars to pay workers, suppliers, and investors, the stronger dollar means that the foreign currency buys fewer U.S. dollars than if the currency had not strengthened, and that the firm’s profits (as measured in dollars) fall.
As a result, the firm may choose to reduce its exports, or it may raise its selling price, which will also tend to reduce its exports. In this way, a stronger currency reduces a country’s exports.

Foreign firms exporting to the U.S.

Conversely, for a foreign firm selling in the U.S. economy, a stronger dollar is a blessing.
Each dollar earned through export sales, when traded back into the exporting firm's home currency, will now buy more home currency than expected before the dollar had strengthened.
As a result, the stronger dollar means that the importing firm will earn higher profits. The firm will seek to expand its sales in the U.S. economy, or it may reduce prices, which will also lead to expanded sales.
In this way, a stronger U.S. dollar means that consumers will purchase more from foreign producers, expanding the country’s level of imports.

U.S. financial investor

A stronger dollar injures the prospects of a U.S. financial investor who has already invested money in another country.
A U.S. financial investor abroad must first convert U.S. dollars to a foreign currency, invest in a foreign country, and then later convert that foreign currency back to U.S. dollars.
If in the meantime the U.S. dollar becomes stronger and the foreign currency becomes weaker, then when the investor converts back to U.S. dollars, the rate of return on that investment will be less than originally expected at the time it was made.

Foreign investor in the U.S.

However, a stronger U.S. dollar boosts the returns of a foreign investor putting money into a U.S. investment.
That foreign investor converts from the home currency to U.S. dollars and seeks a U.S. investment, while later planning to switch back to the home currency. If, in the meantime, the dollar grows stronger, then when the time comes to convert from U.S. dollars back to the foreign currency, the investor will receive more foreign currency than expected at the time the original investment was made.

1Microeconomics

1.1Competitive Markets: Demand & Suply

1.1.1Markets & Demand

1.1.2Diminishing Marginal Returns

1.1.3Supply

1.1.4Market Equilibrium

1.1.5Price Mechanism

1.1.6Consumer & Producer Surplus

1.1.7IB Multiple Choice - Demand

1.1.8IB Multiple Choice - Supply

1.2Elasticity

1.2.1Elasticities of Demand

1.2.2Factors Affecting Price Elasticity of Demand

1.2.3Elasticity of Supply

1.2.4Price Elasticity of Supply

1.2.5IB Multiple Choice - Price Elasticity of Demand

1.2.6IB Multiple Choice - Price Elasticity of Supply

1.2.7IB Multiple Choice - Other Elasticities

1.3Government Intervention

1.3.1Indirect Taxes & Subsidies

1.3.2Application Question - Taxing Prices or Quantities

1.3.3Subsidies & Price Controls

1.3.4Deadweight Loss & Government Intervention

1.3.5Elasticity & Tax Incidence

1.3.6IB Multiple Choice - Government Intervention

1.4Market Failure

1.4.1Types of Market Failure

1.4.2Introduction to Externalities

1.4.3Negative Externalities

1.4.4Policy for Negative Externalities

1.4.5Positive Externalities

1.4.6The Deadweight Welfare Loss of Externalities

1.4.7Case Study - The Externalities of Education

1.4.8Public Goods & the Free-Rider Problem

1.4.9Asymmetric Information

1.4.10End of Topic Test - Market Failure

1.4.11Application Questions - Market Failure

1.5HL: Theory of the Firm & Market Structures

1.5.1Theory of the Firm & Market Structures

2Macroeconomics

2.1The Level of Overall Economic Activity

2.1.1The Circular Flow of Income

2.1.2Defining GDP

2.1.3Limitations of GDP

2.1.4IB Multiple Choice - Economic Indicators

2.1.5Business Cycles

2.1.6Output Gaps

2.2Aggregate Demand & Aggregate Supply

2.2.1The Aggregate Demand Curve

2.2.2Components of Aggregate Demand

2.2.3Shape of the Aggregate Demand Curve

2.2.4Shifts in Aggregate Demand

2.2.5IB Multiple Choice - Aggregate Demand

2.2.6Short & Long-Run Aggregate Supply

2.2.7Alternative Models of LRAS

2.2.8Equilibrium in the AD-AS Model

2.2.9Output Gaps & the AD-AS Model

2.3Macroeconomic Objectives

2.3.1Introduction to Unemployment

2.3.2Limitations of Unemployment

2.3.3Types of Unemployment

2.3.4Causes & Impact of Unemployment

2.3.5Defining Inflation

2.3.6Measuring Inflation

2.3.7Use of Index Numbers

2.3.8The Consumer Price Index

2.3.9Consequences of Inflation

2.3.10Causes of Inflation

2.3.11Inflation & Unemployment Tradeoff

2.3.12The Short-Run Phillips Curve

2.3.13The Long-Run Phillips Curve

2.4Economic Growth, Poverty & Inequality

2.4.1Measuring Economic Growth

2.4.2Determinants of Productivity

2.4.3Economic Growth & Productivity

2.4.4Absolute & Relative Poverty

2.4.5Inequality

2.4.6Inequality 2

2.4.7Lorenz Curve

2.4.8Government Policy on Poverty

2.4.9End of Topic Test - Poverty & Inequality

2.4.10Application - Inequality & Poverty

2.5Fiscal Policy

2.5.1Introduction to Fiscal Policy

2.5.2Fiscal Policy and AD-AS Model

2.5.3Fiscal Policy Lags

2.5.4Automatic Stabilizers

2.5.5IB Multiple Choice - Fiscal Policy

2.6Monetary Policy

2.6.1Objectives of Monetary Policy

2.6.2Monetary Policy Implementation

2.6.3Monetary Policy & AD-AS Model

2.6.4Monetary Policy Lags & Pitfalls

2.7Supply-Side Policies

2.7.1Supply-Side Policies

2.7.2Supply-Side Policies 2

3The Global Economy

3.1International Trade

3.1.1Globalisation

3.1.2Globalisation for LEDCs

3.1.3Globalisation for MEDCs

3.1.4Comparative Advantage & Trade

3.1.5Protectionism

3.1.6Arguments for Protectionism

3.1.7Arguments Against Protectionism

3.1.8End of Topic Test - Globalisation & Trade

3.1.9Case Study - Globalisation & Trade

3.2Exchange Rates

3.2.1Floating Exchange Rates

3.2.2Fixed Exchange Rate

3.2.3Effect of a Stronger & Weaker Dollar

3.3The Balance of Payments

3.3.1Balance of Payments

3.3.2Balance of Payments 2

3.3.3FDI & Reducing a BoP Deficit

3.4Economic Integration

3.4.1Customs Unions & WTO

3.4.2Merged Currency

3.5Terms of Trade

3.5.1Absolute & Comparative Advantage

3.5.2Gains from Trade

3.5.3Terms of Trade

3.5.4IB Multiple Choice - Comparative Advantage & Trade

3.6Economic Development

3.6.1Factors Influencing Growth & Development

3.6.2International Institutions

3.6.3Measures of Development

3.6.4Barriers to Development

3.6.5Case Study - The Bottom Billion

3.6.6End of Topic Test - Emerging & Developing

3.7The Role of Domestic & International Factors

3.7.1Interventionist Strategies

3.7.2Development Strategies

3.7.3Development Promotion Policies

3.7.4End of Topic Test - Growth & Global Development

3.7.5Application Questions -Growth & Global Development

3.8The Role of International Trade

3.8.1International Institutions

3.8.2End of Topic Test - Globalisation & Trade

3.9The Role of Foreign Aid

3.9.1Aid

3.9.2Limitations of Aid

3.9.3Support for Aid

3.9.4Application Questions - Developing Countries

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