2.1.6

Output Gaps

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Output Gaps

An output gap is present when there is a difference between the actual level of real GDP in an economy and the potential level of real GDP (when all factors of production are fully employed).

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Negative output gap

  • A negative output gap is defined as: “when the actual level of real GDP is less than the potential underlying level of real GDP”.
  • Negative output gaps means there is 'spare capacity'. So there will be unemployment (demand-deficient), and demand-pull inflationary pressure will be low because there are lots of resources and factors of production not being used.
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Positive output gap

  • A positive output gap is defined as: “when the actual level of real GDP is greater than the potential underlying level of real GDP”.
  • Positive output gaps mean that an economy is temporarily producing beyond its productive potential. This is only possible for a short time, and leads to workers being paid overtime, and workers and machines being over-used. This causes inflationary pressure as wages and costs rise.
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The implications of potential output

  • Potential output represents the productive capacity of the economy.
  • When an economy is producing it's potential output, unemployment equals the natural rate of unemployment ("NRU").
  • This level of unemployment will fluctuate during the business cycle largely due to cyclical unemployment:
    • During a boom, unemployment will be lower than the NRU.
    • During a recession, unemployment will be higher than the NRU.

Jump to other topics

1Microeconomics

2Macroeconomics

2.1The Level of Overall Economic Activity

2.2Aggregate Demand & Aggregate Supply

2.3Macroeconomic Objectives

2.4Economic Growth, Poverty & Inequality

2.5Fiscal Policy

2.6Monetary Policy

2.7Supply-Side Policies

3The Global Economy

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