Fixed Exchange Rate

Fixed Exchange Rates

In a fixed exchange rate system, the government or central bank chooses a value that it wants the currency to be stable at. There are two ways to do this: a soft peg or hard peg.

Soft peg

A soft peg is where the government usually allows the exchange rate to be set by the market, but in in some cases, the central bank will intervene with the market.
The central bank could increase the supply of the domestic currency (£) or buy other currencies.
- The Chinese yuan is softly pegged to the US dollar.
- The Swiss franc was softly pegged to the Euro until 2015, when it abandoned the peg.

Hard peg

With a hard peg policy, the central bank sets a fixed and unchanging value for the exchange rate.
The central bank will have to buy and sell currency using its currency reserves to keep the fixed exchange rate at the value of the hard peg.
- Hong Kong uses a currency board to keep a hard peg to the US dollar. The Hong Kong Monetary Authority fixes its exchange rate to the USD at HKD7.8.

Advantage of Fixed Exchange Rates

Fixed rates provide stability for firms and households and encourage governments to act more responsibly.

Stability for firms and households

Stability in the exchange rate can encourage firms to invest and households to spend because of the confidence/certainty it builds.
Transactions that involve world trade will rise in particular.

Encourage government responsibility

There is no correction of current account deficits, and so a fixed rate forces a government to act more responsibly.
Governments will be forced to use supply-side and fiscal policy to control the factors that lead to pressure on the exchange rate (e.g high inflation). This may be positive or negative if controlling inflation leads to high unemployment.

Disadvantages of Fixed Exchange Rates

There are a number of negative consequences of using a fixed exchange rate.

Lose power over monetary policy

If a central bank uses monetary policy (interest rates) to alter the exchange rate, then it cannot use monetary policy to address issues of inflation or recession at the same time.
- For example, a government may want to depreciate the currency to make exports more competitive by reducing the interest rate, but this would have the side-effect of potentially increasing inflation through increased consumer spending (C) and investment (I), as well as higher import prices.

Speculative pressure

Holding large reserves of a currency and intervening in the foreign exchange market has a severe opportunity cost.
A hard peg policy will not allow fluctuations. But speculators may try to force a country to leave its peg if they sense an incorrect value.
This happened on 'Black Wednesday' in 1992 when the UK was forced to abandon its peg to the currency of Germany. This cost the UK government billions of pounds in the process of artificially boosting the Pound by spending foreign reserves.

Unstable current account

Unlike with floating exchange rates, the current account balance isn't corrected by the natural mechanism of changing the relative price of imports and exports.
If there are lots of imports or exports, the 'price' of the currency does not change. This means fixed exchange rates fail to adjust for changes in competitiveness over time.

1Microeconomics

1.1Competitive Markets: Demand & Suply

1.1.1Markets & Demand

1.1.2Diminishing Marginal Returns

1.1.3Supply

1.1.4Market Equilibrium

1.1.5Price Mechanism

1.1.6Consumer & Producer Surplus

1.1.7IB Multiple Choice - Demand

1.1.8IB Multiple Choice - Supply

1.2Elasticity

1.2.1Elasticities of Demand

1.2.2Factors Affecting Price Elasticity of Demand

1.2.3Elasticity of Supply

1.2.4Price Elasticity of Supply

1.2.5IB Multiple Choice - Price Elasticity of Demand

1.2.6IB Multiple Choice - Price Elasticity of Supply

1.2.7IB Multiple Choice - Other Elasticities

1.3Government Intervention

1.3.1Indirect Taxes & Subsidies

1.3.2Application Question - Taxing Prices or Quantities

1.3.3Subsidies & Price Controls

1.3.4Deadweight Loss & Government Intervention

1.3.5Elasticity & Tax Incidence

1.3.6IB Multiple Choice - Government Intervention

1.4Market Failure

1.4.1Types of Market Failure

1.4.2Introduction to Externalities

1.4.3Negative Externalities

1.4.4Policy for Negative Externalities

1.4.5Positive Externalities

1.4.6The Deadweight Welfare Loss of Externalities

1.4.7Case Study - The Externalities of Education

1.4.8Public Goods & the Free-Rider Problem

1.4.9Asymmetric Information

1.4.10End of Topic Test - Market Failure

1.4.11Application Questions - Market Failure

1.5HL: Theory of the Firm & Market Structures

1.5.1Theory of the Firm & Market Structures

2Macroeconomics

2.1The Level of Overall Economic Activity

2.1.1The Circular Flow of Income

2.1.2Defining GDP

2.1.3Limitations of GDP

2.1.4IB Multiple Choice - Economic Indicators

2.1.5Business Cycles

2.1.6Output Gaps

2.2Aggregate Demand & Aggregate Supply

2.2.1The Aggregate Demand Curve

2.2.2Components of Aggregate Demand

2.2.3Shape of the Aggregate Demand Curve

2.2.4Shifts in Aggregate Demand

2.2.5IB Multiple Choice - Aggregate Demand

2.2.6Short & Long-Run Aggregate Supply

2.2.7Alternative Models of LRAS

2.2.8Equilibrium in the AD-AS Model

2.2.9Output Gaps & the AD-AS Model

2.3Macroeconomic Objectives

2.3.1Introduction to Unemployment

2.3.2Limitations of Unemployment

2.3.3Types of Unemployment

2.3.4Causes & Impact of Unemployment

2.3.5Defining Inflation

2.3.6Measuring Inflation

2.3.7Use of Index Numbers

2.3.8The Consumer Price Index

2.3.9Consequences of Inflation

2.3.10Causes of Inflation

2.3.11Inflation & Unemployment Tradeoff

2.3.12The Short-Run Phillips Curve

2.3.13The Long-Run Phillips Curve

2.4Economic Growth, Poverty & Inequality

2.4.1Measuring Economic Growth

2.4.2Determinants of Productivity

2.4.3Economic Growth & Productivity

2.4.4Absolute & Relative Poverty

2.4.5Inequality

2.4.6Inequality 2

2.4.7Lorenz Curve

2.4.8Government Policy on Poverty

2.4.9End of Topic Test - Poverty & Inequality

2.4.10Application - Inequality & Poverty

2.5Fiscal Policy

2.5.1Introduction to Fiscal Policy

2.5.2Fiscal Policy and AD-AS Model

2.5.3Fiscal Policy Lags

2.5.4Automatic Stabilizers

2.5.5IB Multiple Choice - Fiscal Policy

2.6Monetary Policy

2.6.1Objectives of Monetary Policy

2.6.2Monetary Policy Implementation

2.6.3Monetary Policy & AD-AS Model

2.6.4Monetary Policy Lags & Pitfalls

2.7Supply-Side Policies

2.7.1Supply-Side Policies

2.7.2Supply-Side Policies 2

3The Global Economy

3.1International Trade

3.1.1Globalisation

3.1.2Globalisation for LEDCs

3.1.3Globalisation for MEDCs

3.1.4Comparative Advantage & Trade

3.1.5Protectionism

3.1.6Arguments for Protectionism

3.1.7Arguments Against Protectionism

3.1.8End of Topic Test - Globalisation & Trade

3.1.9Case Study - Globalisation & Trade

3.2Exchange Rates

3.2.1Floating Exchange Rates

3.2.2Fixed Exchange Rate

3.2.3Effect of a Stronger & Weaker Dollar

3.3The Balance of Payments

3.3.1Balance of Payments

3.3.2Balance of Payments 2

3.3.3FDI & Reducing a BoP Deficit

3.4Economic Integration

3.4.1Customs Unions & WTO

3.4.2Merged Currency

3.5Terms of Trade

3.5.1Absolute & Comparative Advantage

3.5.2Gains from Trade

3.5.3Terms of Trade

3.5.4IB Multiple Choice - Comparative Advantage & Trade

3.6Economic Development

3.6.1Factors Influencing Growth & Development

3.6.2International Institutions

3.6.3Measures of Development

3.6.4Barriers to Development

3.6.5Case Study - The Bottom Billion

3.6.6End of Topic Test - Emerging & Developing

3.7The Role of Domestic & International Factors

3.7.1Interventionist Strategies

3.7.2Development Strategies

3.7.3Development Promotion Policies

3.7.4End of Topic Test - Growth & Global Development

3.7.5Application Questions -Growth & Global Development

3.8The Role of International Trade

3.8.1International Institutions

3.8.2End of Topic Test - Globalisation & Trade

3.9The Role of Foreign Aid

3.9.1Aid

3.9.2Limitations of Aid

3.9.3Support for Aid

3.9.4Application Questions - Developing Countries

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