Floating Exchange Rates

The exchange rate refers to how much of a foreign currency one unit of domestic currency will buy you. £1=$1.40 means that £1 of sterling will buy $1.40 of US dollars.

Floating exchange rate

With floating exchange rates, the government or central bank let the foreign exchange markets set exchange rates.
The value of a floating exchange rate is affected by the supply and demand of the currency in public markets.

Effect of interest rates

Expansionary monetary policy usually lowers interest rates to increase demand in the economy. This affects foreign exchange markets because:
- The lower interest rates will reduce demand for the currency because returns in that country are lower, leading to a depreciation in the domestic currency.
A central bank can also influence FX markets directly. It can increase the supply of its own currency (£) and buy other foreign currencies, again depreciating the domestic currency.

Volatility of floating rates

Supporters of floating exchange rates argue that if government policies were more predictable and stable, then inflation rates and interest rates would be more predictable and stable.
But floating exchange rates have been more volatile than economists expected them to be in the 1970s.

SPICEE!

There is an easy way to remember the impact of an exchange rate movement: SPICEE!
Strong.
Pound.
Imports.
Cheaper.
Exports.
Expensive(r).

Advantages of Floating Exchange Rates

Floating exchange rates are when the external value of a currency can change continuously because of market forces (due to supply and demand for that currency). There are several advantages to this system.

Stabilise balance of trade

A free floating currency allows for an automatic adjustment mechanism.
- E.g. if there is a current account deficit, this will lead to outflow of currency, causing a depreciation of the currency.
- This depreciation will lead to a greater competitiveness of exports. This will help to improve the current account and partially correct the problem.
When demand for exports rise, the value of the currency will rise making exports more expensive and when demand for exports falls, the value of the currency will fall making exports cheaper.

Freedom to use monetary policy for other aims

It is not possible for a country to have fixed exchange rates, perfect capital mobility and independent monetary policy. This is called the monetary trilemma.
Sacrificing control over exchange rates allows capital (funds) to flow freely into a country, which encourages investment, and also for the central bank to have control over the interest rate, allowing them to better manage inflation.

Less need to hold reserves

With floating rates, there is no obvious need for a central bank to hold foreign exchange reserves. This is because a key reason to hold them is to intervene in the currency market.
With a fixed exchange rate, the Central Bank needs to hold reserves and is vulnerable to speculation.

Disadvantages of Floating Exchange Rates

Floating exchange rates are when the external value of a currency can fluctuate because of market forces (that is, due to supply and demand for that currency). There are also disadvantages to this system.

Increased uncertainty

Increased uncertainty over the exchange rate could mean that long term international investment is discouraged because potential investors will be of unsure of future prices.
This hampers business confidence, which in turn deters investment and could give rise to a negative multiplier.

Cost-push inflation from depreciation

If a currency depreciates, the price of imports rises. This could lead to imported raw material costs rising, leading to cost-push inflation.
Less macroeconomic discipline is needed by a government - if the domestic inflation is higher than foreign inflation rates, the currency will depreciate. This will reduce the difference the impact the inflation is having.

Potential speculation

A freely traded currency can still be vulnerable to speculation as investors try to make investment returns by trading FX.
Higher levels of speculation could in turn increase volatility.

1Introduction to Markets

2Market Failure

2.1Market Failure

2.1.1Types of Market Failure

2.1.2Externalities

2.1.3The Deadweight Welfare Loss of Externalities

2.1.4A-A* (AO3/4) - The Externalities of Education

2.1.5Public Goods

2.1.6Information Gaps

2.1.7End of Topic Test - Market Failure

2.1.8Application Questions - Market Failure

2.2Government Intervention

2.2.1Government Intervention in Markets

2.2.2Subsidies & Price Controls

2.2.3Pollution Permits & Regulation

2.2.4A-A* (AO3/4) - European Emissions Trading

2.2.5State Provision & Information Provision

2.2.6Government Failure

2.2.7End of Topic Test - Government Intervention

2.2.8A-A* (AO3/4) - Government Intervention

3The UK Macroeconomy

3.1Measures of Economic Performance

3.1.1Measuring Economic Growth

3.1.2National Income Data

3.1.3Inflation

3.1.4Causes of Inflation

3.1.5Consequences of Inflation

3.1.6Employment & Unemployment

3.1.7Causes & Impact of Unemployment

3.1.8A-A* (AO3/4) - Hysteresis

3.1.9Balance of Payments

3.1.10Current Account Deficit & Imbalances

3.1.11End of Topic Test - Economic Performance

3.1.12Application Questions Macroeconomy

3.2Aggregate Demand

3.2.1Aggregate Demand

3.2.2Consumption

3.2.3Investment

3.2.4Government Expenditure

3.2.5Net Trade

3.2.6End of Topic Test - Aggregated Demand

3.2.7Application Questions - AD

3.3Aggregate Supply

3.3.1Aggregate Supply

3.3.2End of Topic Test - Aggregated Supply

3.3.3A-A* (AO3/4) -Aggregate Supply

3.4National Income

3.4.1National Income

3.4.2Injections & Withdrawals

3.4.3Equilibrium Level of Real National Output

3.4.4Multiplier Effect

3.4.5End of Topic Test - National Income

3.4.6Application Questions - National Income

3.5Economic Growth

3.5.1Causes of Economic Growth

3.5.2Output Gaps

3.5.3Business Cycle

3.5.4Impact of Economic Growth

3.5.5End of Topic Test - Economic Growth

3.5.6A-A* (AO3/4) - Growth

4The UK Economy - Policies

4.1Macroeconomic Objectives & Policies

4.1.1Possible Objectives

4.1.2Demand-Side Policies - Monetary

4.1.3Demand-Side Policies - Monetary 2

4.1.4A-A* (AO3/4) - The Future of Interest Rates

4.1.5Demand-Side Policies - Fiscal

4.1.6Demand-Side Policies in 2007-08

4.1.7Strengths & Weaknesses of Demand Side

4.1.8Supply-Side Policies

4.1.9Supply-Side Policies 2

4.1.10Conflicts Between Objectives

4.1.11A-A* (AO3/4) - Conflicting Incentives

4.1.12Phillips Curve

4.1.13End of Topic Topic - Policies & Objectives

4.1.14Application Questions - UK Policies

5Business Behaviour

5.1Business Growth

5.1.1Size & Types of Firms

5.1.2Business Growth

5.1.3Pros & Cons of External Expansion

5.1.4Demergers

5.1.5End of Topic Test - Business Growth

5.1.6A-A* (AO3/4) - Business Growth

5.2Business Objectives

5.2.1Business Objectives

5.2.2End of Topic Test - Business Objectives

5.2.3Application Questions - Business Objectives

5.3Revenues, Costs & Profits

5.3.1Revenue

5.3.2Costs

5.3.3Economies & Diseconomies of Scale

5.3.4Profits

5.3.5Profits 2

5.3.6End of Topic Test - Revenue, Costs & Profits

5.3.7A-A* (AO3/4) - Revenue, Costs & Profit

6Market Structures

6.1Market Structures

6.1.1Efficiency

6.1.2Perfect Competition

6.1.3Perfect Competition 2

6.1.4Monopolistic Competition

6.1.5Oligopolies

6.1.6The Prisoner's Dilemma

6.1.7Collusion in Oligopolistic Markets

6.1.8A-A* (AO3/4) - Which Factors Affect Collusion?

6.1.9Monopolies

6.1.10Price Discrimination

6.1.11Monopsony

6.1.12A-A* (AO3/4) - Models in Economics

6.1.13Contestability

6.1.14Benefits of Contestability

6.1.15End of Topic Test - Market Structures

6.1.16Application Questions - Market Structures

6.1.17A-A* (AO3/4) - Cereal Collusion

6.2Labour Market

6.2.1Demand for Labour

6.2.2Supply of Labour

6.2.3Labour Market Imperfections

6.2.4A-A* (AO3/4) - Labour Productivity & Unemployment

6.2.5A-A* (AO3/4) - What Level of Unionisation is Good?

6.2.6Wage Determination

6.2.7Elasticity of Labour Supply & Demand

6.2.8Intervention in Setting Wages

6.2.9End of Topic Test - Labour Market

6.2.10A-A* (AO3/4) - Labour Markets

6.3Government Intervention

6.3.1Reasons for Government Intervention

6.3.2Government Promotion of Competition

6.3.3Usefulness of Competition Policy & Examples

6.3.4A-A* (AO3/4) - Modern Competition Policy

6.3.5Privatisation

6.3.6Government Regulation

6.3.7A-A* (AO3/4) - Nationalisation vs Privatisation

6.3.8Government Protection of Suppliers and Employees

6.3.9Impact of Government Intervention

6.3.10End of Topic Test - Government Intervention

6.3.11Application Questions - Government Intervention

7A Global Perspective

8Finance & Inequality

8.1Poverty & Inequality

8.1.1Absolute & Relative Poverty

8.1.2Inequality

8.1.3Inequality 2

8.1.4Lorenz Curve

8.1.5Government Policy on Poverty

8.1.6End of Topic Test - Poverty & Inequality

8.1.7A-A* (AO3/4) - Inequality & Poverty

8.2Emerging & Developing Economies

8.2.1Measures of Development

8.2.2Factors Influencing Growth & Development

8.2.3Barriers to Development

8.2.4Barriers to Development 2

8.2.5A-A* (AO3/4) - The Bottom Billion

8.2.6Development Strategies

8.2.7Interventionist Strategies

8.2.8Aid

8.2.9International Institutions

8.2.10International Institutions 2

8.2.11End of Topic Test - Emerging & Developing

8.2.12Application Questions - Developing Countries

8.3The Financial Sector

8.3.1Role of Financial Markets

8.3.2Market Failure in the Financial Sector

8.3.3Role of Central Banks

8.3.4End of Topic Test - The Financial Sector

8.3.5A-A* (AO3/4) - Financial Sector

8.4Role of the State in the Macroeconomy

8.4.1Public Expenditure

8.4.2Taxation

8.4.3Public Sector Finances

8.4.4End of Topic Test - Role of the State

8.4.5Application Questions - Role of the State

9Examples of Global Policy

9.1International Policies

9.1.1Global Debt & Deficit Policies

9.1.2Poverty & Inequality Policies

9.1.3Changes in Interest Rates

9.1.4Competitiveness Policies

9.1.5End of Topic Test - International Policies

9.1.6A-A* (AO3/4) - International Policies

9.2Policy Responses to Shocks

9.2.1International Tax Policies

9.2.2Problems for Policymakers

9.2.3End of Topic Test - Policy Responses

9.2.4Application Questions - Policy Responses

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