Current Account Deficit & Imbalances

Current Account Deficit

Many developed countries, including the UK and US, have significant current account deficits. This isn't a cause for concern in of itself, but could indicate wider problems with the economy.

Causes of a deficit

The following could cause a deficit:
- Low productivity, meaning the final price of the goods are likely to be higher.
- Inflation being higher domestically than abroad, reducing the international competitiveness of domestic goods.
- A strong exchange rate, reducing the price of imports and increasing the price of exports.
- Non-price factors, such as poor quality of goods and services.
- Supply-side constraints, which could cause a lot of goods being imported from abroad.

Is a current account deficit a concern?

If a deficit is because of capital goods imports, then it is likely to be good for future productivity and future growth.
If a deficit is because of the purchase of current goods, it will be good for the short-term standard of living.
If it because of a lot of FDI in the past, profits are being repatriated today. This means the investments were profitable.
If the deficit is a high % of GDP and is getting worse, this may be worrying.
If nobody wants to buy a country's exports, then this may be concerning.

Effects of a deficit

A current account deficit needs to be financed by a financial account surplus - so it will become a problem if foreign investors stop wanting to purchase assets in that country.
If a country has a free floating currency, the currency will depreciate. This may partially offset the uncompetitiveness of exports.
This will also cause the price of imports to rise though, leading to higher prices for consumers and potentially cost-push inflation.

Current Account Imbalances

Current account imbalances result because of trade between different countries. Current account balances can work for or against different macroeconomic objectives.

Trade makes economies interconnected

If the USA is running a current account deficit. To fund this deficit, it has to have a capital account surplus. It does this by selling US government debt (called treasuries) to foreign governments and international private investors.
If international investors and international governments no longer wanted to buy US government debt, then the USA would have to balance its current account.
International trade allows current account surpluses and deficits to develop.

Current account and economic growth

A current account surplus can mean that an economy is exporting a lot of goods.
GDP = C+I+G+(X-M). If exports are larger than imports, GDP may be rising.
If imports rise, M rises and GDP falls. So a current account deficit may signal weak economic growth.

Current account and employment

If there is a current account deficit, then economic growth may be slowing and unemployment may be rising.
However, if a developed economy like the UK is importing lots of primary goods like food and raw materials, then its labour force may be working in more productive economic areas like intellectual property.
The current account deficit could reflect a change in the structure of an economy and its labour force.

Current account and inflation

A current account deficit may show that a nation is importing lots of goods and services. However, if labour and input costs are cheaper overseas, this may reduce inflationary pressure.
If the price of goods made in China is a lot lower than the price of goods made in the UK, then a current account deficit could reduce inflationary pressure.

1Introduction to Markets

2Market Failure

2.1Market Failure

2.1.1Types of Market Failure

2.1.2Externalities

2.1.3The Deadweight Welfare Loss of Externalities

2.1.4A-A* (AO3/4) - The Externalities of Education

2.1.5Public Goods

2.1.6Information Gaps

2.1.7End of Topic Test - Market Failure

2.1.8Application Questions - Market Failure

2.2Government Intervention

2.2.1Government Intervention in Markets

2.2.2Subsidies & Price Controls

2.2.3Pollution Permits & Regulation

2.2.4A-A* (AO3/4) - European Emissions Trading

2.2.5State Provision & Information Provision

2.2.6Government Failure

2.2.7End of Topic Test - Government Intervention

2.2.8A-A* (AO3/4) - Government Intervention

3The UK Macroeconomy

3.1Measures of Economic Performance

3.1.1Measuring Economic Growth

3.1.2National Income Data

3.1.3Inflation

3.1.4Causes of Inflation

3.1.5Consequences of Inflation

3.1.6Employment & Unemployment

3.1.7Causes & Impact of Unemployment

3.1.8A-A* (AO3/4) - Hysteresis

3.1.9Balance of Payments

3.1.10Current Account Deficit & Imbalances

3.1.11End of Topic Test - Economic Performance

3.1.12Application Questions Macroeconomy

3.2Aggregate Demand

3.2.1Aggregate Demand

3.2.2Consumption

3.2.3Investment

3.2.4Government Expenditure

3.2.5Net Trade

3.2.6End of Topic Test - Aggregated Demand

3.2.7Application Questions - AD

3.3Aggregate Supply

3.3.1Aggregate Supply

3.3.2End of Topic Test - Aggregated Supply

3.3.3A-A* (AO3/4) -Aggregate Supply

3.4National Income

3.4.1National Income

3.4.2Injections & Withdrawals

3.4.3Equilibrium Level of Real National Output

3.4.4Multiplier Effect

3.4.5End of Topic Test - National Income

3.4.6Application Questions - National Income

3.5Economic Growth

3.5.1Causes of Economic Growth

3.5.2Output Gaps

3.5.3Business Cycle

3.5.4Impact of Economic Growth

3.5.5End of Topic Test - Economic Growth

3.5.6A-A* (AO3/4) - Growth

4The UK Economy - Policies

4.1Macroeconomic Objectives & Policies

4.1.1Possible Objectives

4.1.2Demand-Side Policies - Monetary

4.1.3Demand-Side Policies - Monetary 2

4.1.4A-A* (AO3/4) - The Future of Interest Rates

4.1.5Demand-Side Policies - Fiscal

4.1.6Demand-Side Policies in 2007-08

4.1.7Strengths & Weaknesses of Demand Side

4.1.8Supply-Side Policies

4.1.9Supply-Side Policies 2

4.1.10Conflicts Between Objectives

4.1.11A-A* (AO3/4) - Conflicting Incentives

4.1.12Phillips Curve

4.1.13End of Topic Topic - Policies & Objectives

4.1.14Application Questions - UK Policies

5Business Behaviour

5.1Business Growth

5.1.1Size & Types of Firms

5.1.2Business Growth

5.1.3Pros & Cons of External Expansion

5.1.4Demergers

5.1.5End of Topic Test - Business Growth

5.1.6A-A* (AO3/4) - Business Growth

5.2Business Objectives

5.2.1Business Objectives

5.2.2End of Topic Test - Business Objectives

5.2.3Application Questions - Business Objectives

5.3Revenues, Costs & Profits

5.3.1Revenue

5.3.2Costs

5.3.3Economies & Diseconomies of Scale

5.3.4Profits

5.3.5Profits 2

5.3.6End of Topic Test - Revenue, Costs & Profits

5.3.7A-A* (AO3/4) - Revenue, Costs & Profit

6Market Structures

6.1Market Structures

6.1.1Efficiency

6.1.2Perfect Competition

6.1.3Perfect Competition 2

6.1.4Monopolistic Competition

6.1.5Oligopolies

6.1.6The Prisoner's Dilemma

6.1.7Collusion in Oligopolistic Markets

6.1.8A-A* (AO3/4) - Which Factors Affect Collusion?

6.1.9Monopolies

6.1.10Price Discrimination

6.1.11Monopsony

6.1.12A-A* (AO3/4) - Models in Economics

6.1.13Contestability

6.1.14Benefits of Contestability

6.1.15End of Topic Test - Market Structures

6.1.16Application Questions - Market Structures

6.1.17A-A* (AO3/4) - Cereal Collusion

6.2Labour Market

6.2.1Demand for Labour

6.2.2Supply of Labour

6.2.3Labour Market Imperfections

6.2.4A-A* (AO3/4) - Labour Productivity & Unemployment

6.2.5A-A* (AO3/4) - What Level of Unionisation is Good?

6.2.6Wage Determination

6.2.7Elasticity of Labour Supply & Demand

6.2.8Intervention in Setting Wages

6.2.9End of Topic Test - Labour Market

6.2.10A-A* (AO3/4) - Labour Markets

6.3Government Intervention

6.3.1Reasons for Government Intervention

6.3.2Government Promotion of Competition

6.3.3Usefulness of Competition Policy & Examples

6.3.4A-A* (AO3/4) - Modern Competition Policy

6.3.5Privatisation

6.3.6Government Regulation

6.3.7A-A* (AO3/4) - Nationalisation vs Privatisation

6.3.8Government Protection of Suppliers and Employees

6.3.9Impact of Government Intervention

6.3.10End of Topic Test - Government Intervention

6.3.11Application Questions - Government Intervention

7A Global Perspective

8Finance & Inequality

8.1Poverty & Inequality

8.1.1Absolute & Relative Poverty

8.1.2Inequality

8.1.3Inequality 2

8.1.4Lorenz Curve

8.1.5Government Policy on Poverty

8.1.6End of Topic Test - Poverty & Inequality

8.1.7A-A* (AO3/4) - Inequality & Poverty

8.2Emerging & Developing Economies

8.2.1Measures of Development

8.2.2Factors Influencing Growth & Development

8.2.3Barriers to Development

8.2.4Barriers to Development 2

8.2.5A-A* (AO3/4) - The Bottom Billion

8.2.6Development Strategies

8.2.7Interventionist Strategies

8.2.8Aid

8.2.9International Institutions

8.2.10International Institutions 2

8.2.11End of Topic Test - Emerging & Developing

8.2.12Application Questions - Developing Countries

8.3The Financial Sector

8.3.1Role of Financial Markets

8.3.2Market Failure in the Financial Sector

8.3.3Role of Central Banks

8.3.4End of Topic Test - The Financial Sector

8.3.5A-A* (AO3/4) - Financial Sector

8.4Role of the State in the Macroeconomy

8.4.1Public Expenditure

8.4.2Taxation

8.4.3Public Sector Finances

8.4.4End of Topic Test - Role of the State

8.4.5Application Questions - Role of the State

9Examples of Global Policy

9.1International Policies

9.1.1Global Debt & Deficit Policies

9.1.2Poverty & Inequality Policies

9.1.3Changes in Interest Rates

9.1.4Competitiveness Policies

9.1.5End of Topic Test - International Policies

9.1.6A-A* (AO3/4) - International Policies

9.2Policy Responses to Shocks

9.2.1International Tax Policies

9.2.2Problems for Policymakers

9.2.3End of Topic Test - Policy Responses

9.2.4Application Questions - Policy Responses

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