Natural Causes of Climate Change

Geography: Edexcel IGCSE, topic 3.1.1

Natural Factors and Climate Change

Below are some natural factors that are potential causes of climate change:

Milankovitch cycles

Milankovitch cycles

  • The Earth's orbit around the Sun changes from circular to elliptical and back to circular over a period of 96,000 years. This is known as Milankovitch cycles.
  • When the Earth is closer to the sun, more of the sun's radiation will reach the Earth, warming it.
  • Orbital cycles could explain the interglacial eras.
  • The Earth's tilt changes over a cycle of 41,000 years.
  • The Earth's axis wobbles on a cycle of 22,000 years.
  • These cycles affect the amount of solar radiation the Earth receives - the more solar radiation it's exposed to, the warmer it gets.
Volcanic activity

Volcanic activity

  • Very large volcanic eruptions can change the atmosphere.
  • Particles can reflect the Sun's radiation away from Earth, cooling it down. This can be described as a volcanic winter.
  • Volcanic eruptions also release Carbon Dioxide, which is a greenhouse gas.
  • However, volcanic winters only last for a few years and would cool the earth down.
  • Volcanoes don't produce enough CO2 to explain global warming over 150 years.
Solar output variation

Solar output variation

  • The Sun's energy output changes in cycles. It is possible that a period of high output could increase the Earth's temperature, however, the scientific consensus is that solar output variation cannot explain recent global warming.
Asteroid collisions

Asteroid collisions

  • When asteroids collide with the Earth, huge amounts of dust particles get thrown up into the atmosphere.
  • These dust particles reduce the amount of sunlight reaching the Earth's surface. This causes global temperatures to fall.
  • This is unlikely to explain recent changes in the Earth's climate.

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